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#EarningsObserver: AI Infrastructure Earnings Reports Take the Stage
The validation logic for the AI infrastructure earnings season is straightforward: optical modules, compute cloud, and equipment manufacturers are all testing the same question—whether AI investments have truly turned into real revenue.
CoreWeave: Revenue Doubled, Backlog at $104 Billion
Shares rose 9% after hours. Q2 revenue was $2.58 billion, up 112% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations. Net loss was $626 million, but significantly less than the expected $757 million loss. The most striking figure is the backlog—$104 billion, with core clients including OpenAI, Meta, and Microsoft.
$CRWV CoreWeave’s results indicate one thing: demand for AI compute leasing is still booming; losses are due to rapid expansion, not weak demand.
Lumentum: Optical Module Demand Exploded, But Only Up 1.8% After Hours
Q4 revenue was $1.01 billion, doubling year-over-year, EPS $3.23, beating expectations by $0.28. Tied to Google TPU and Nvidia GPU supply chains, AI optical module demand is indeed materializing. However, shares only rose 1.8% after hours—optical modules went up, but the market wasn’t particularly excited, possibly feeling expectations were already priced in.
Coherent and AMAT Reports Coming Tonight and Tomorrow Night
Coherent will release Q4 earnings after market close tonight (August 12), with expected revenue of $1.98 billion, up 30% year-over-year, EPS $1.21. It is a core supplier for AI optical interconnects, validating whether "optical communication is truly accelerating."
Applied Materials (AMAT) will report Q3 earnings after market close Thursday (August 13), with expected revenue of $9 billion, up 23% year-over-year, EPS $3.36. As a semiconductor equipment leader, it validates whether "chipmakers are still expanding production."
$SPCX SpaceX Second Wave of Unlocking on August 20
#AIInfraEarningsWatch #CPIToResetFedBets #AIInfraFundingDiverges
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